Silver reveals how often our predictions are incorrect centered strictly to your study, and you may advocates to own human judgement when considering analysis. For example there’s a powerful correlation on the results away from the stock market plus the champion of one’s Extremely Bowl anywhere between 1967 and you may 1997. A computer could use it correlation and then make predictions, but an individual do discover naturally that it relationship is just a coincidence. Coincidences similar to this is actually destined to happens inside an incredible number of analysis we have on the market.

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